The Storm approaches 6- uncertain track

The weather models continue to confound any attempt to get a consensus. The WRF is the furthest West, bringing the low pressure center up through New Jersey, and into New York. 3 models, the NAM, GFS and Canadien all send the center across Cape Cod or slightly west of there. Another 3 models, the JMA, Ukmet and NGM, all run the storm in between the 40/70 benchmark and Cape Cod. The Euro, which had run the storm off the coast as well, begins its run at 72 hours into the future, and thus does not allow me to see the storm pass the New England area, but its 72 hour location agrees with that last trio which leads me to believe that the storm will pass closer to Nantucket and the outer cape than it will Boston. I am hoping that the models will come to some sort of agreement later Tuesday.

Tuesday's high temperature is forecast to be 25 degrees. It will be interesting to see how cold it really is and how far south the cold spreads. The storm will begins as snow, and I expect 1-3 inches of snow for most locations on the ground before it changes to a mix from the 128 belt southeastward and to rain on the Cape and coastal areas. The danger of an ice event is still in play as the low level cold air may stick in place in some areas close to Boston. The Rain and mix will then change back to snow Wednesday evening and additional moderate accumulations are possible. The track of this storm will very much tell the tale of precipitation. If the track heads further inland, longer periods of rain and mix will impact the Boston area and the mix could impact as far inland as Worcester. If the storm heads further off-shore, there would be greater snow amounts, especially in the Providence RI, Plymouth MA, Boston MA area as it would snow for longer periods.